Monday, April 17, 2017

Delegitimizing Turkey’s Referendum- Would You Expect Anything Less?

I would not have. Nor am I surprised by today's 5 eyes news reports.
Henri Barkey: " Turks have a tendency to buck the system when they feel that the rules of the game are unfair or that they are being bullied by their leaders. No one should assume that the vote will turn out the way Erdogan has planned"
Henri Barkey is telling us the masses will buck the system- I disagree with that statement- A disappointing reality I've long come to terms with is the majority will go along- They don't think. They merely accept- So the initial part of his statement can be dismissed. It's simply paying lip service- It's an empty platitude.

The more interesting part of his statement is "No one should assume that the vote will turn out the way Erdogan has planned"

I was making the point yesterday that prior to undertaking this referendum there would have been polling and lots of it- In my more naive days I worked on election campaigns- I get the idea of internal polling. Knowing as I do how this game works, it was interesting to me that Henri Barkey said "no one should assume that the vote will turn out---- as planned"
Henri Barkey was correct- the referendum didn't have the results that were likely documented via polls for months in advance. That however doesn't mean any bucking of the system occurred.

Yesterday I watched Turkey’s referendum unfold as it happened. As initial results came in the Yes side was way ahead. And I do mean way ahead. Along that 60/40 polling I had previously mentioned - Then something changed. The no side began to really pick up, in a rather unexpected, to me, way. Let me mention, there was never a time that the no side was in the lead, from my monitoring the two sites mentioned yesterday. Checking repeatedly over about 4 hours time.Yenisafak had an interactive map that was updating regularly. jamesinturkey was live blogging and every time a news post was made there was a ding to notify you of the latest news.

I'm pleased to see the Kremlin spokesperson is suggesting respecting Turkey's referendum result
"We believe that everyone should respect the will of the Turkish people," Peskov told reporters, according to Russian news agency TASS.
He said referendum was internal matter of Turkey.
Of course the 5 eyes media, alt and msm, is hell bent on delegitimizing the referendum- There's even an "activist" video! Of course. There's always an activist video.

The first hint of impending 5 eyes media trouble came via this speculative report
  6.57pm Block results service? by Mike
On CNN Turk, journalist Murat Yetkin says there is speculation that the Supreme Election Commission (YSK) has blocked its results service to some political parties.
Some time later there were claims that ballots were counted which weren’t “official”
Belfast Telegraph
Claim: “The High Electoral Board in Turkey made a late decision on the night of the referendum to count ballots that had not been stamped by officials”
 Response to that accusation “head of that Board, Sadi Guven, defended the process, saying all the ballot papers that were counted were not fake or cast fraudulently”
 Sadi Guven is saying all ballot papers counted were not fake or cast fraudulently-

Considering the response should we accept that the claim is valid or take it as just perception management?
Claim:“Bulent Tezcan, deputy chairman of Turkey's main opposition Republican People's Party, claimed the decision was made after it appeared the "no" votes were ahead of the "yes" votes, and that initial counting of the ballots happened in secret”
An unsupported but absolutely expected opposition comment. However there is no evidence to support this claim-
1-What ballots were counted in secret? He doesn't say. 
2-Where did this take place? He doesn't say. 
A recount would be necessary to even begin to validate such claims-
He has offered no proof to support his statement unless he is relying on the "activist" video posted to social media...  By the way, Isn't that convenient?  

These types of proofs should always be taken with a grain of salt-  We have activist videos galore regarding ‘peaceful revolutions’ ‘chemical weapons use’ and so called "rescues" via white helmets. To be blunt, "they don't mean shit"

These "activist videos" are created for the usage of 5 eyes media in order to promote certain perceptions for the advancement of specific agendas. Via the Daily Mail
I've written abundantly regarding the Turkish referendum- if you are remotely unfamiliar with previous posts find them below:


  1. Turkey's Referendum As Results Come In

  2. Turkey's Referendum: "To Close To Call" ???

  3. Turkey's Referendum: Is The Sky Really Falling?

  4. Giant "Evet" Referendum Rally In Turkey

  5. West Unhinged Over Turkish Referendum

9 comments:

  1. the video means nothing to me- It's not just the language though I would love to know what is being said

    but your supposed to believe this is taking place where?
    In a polling station?
    Why would you?
    What's with the envelopes?
    Where is the context?
    And why is the video so narrowly focused?
    I want the whole picture--
    IMO the video is just another sham activist video

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. transcript.

      0:00 - Like Isin't there a Judge

      0:01(background) - Come one lets finish and lets go all the others have finished already

      0:12(woman) - Headmaster, I am now recording you

      0:13(male) - Record(Do as you like, I don't care)

      0:13(woman) - You are now applying the mark on votes which didn't have those on them so you can make them valid, this is a criminal act and you have responsibility in this.

      Switches to an other Twitter user Video

      *Could not Understand what they were saying. but in this video it looks like they are applying yes on the votes, the other was applying the mark of the Turkish republic on the votes, to make the valid*.

      The thing with envelopes is how the Votes are cast in Turkish system. You mark your vote on a piece of paper than put it in the envelope and than you seal the envelope and drop it in the ballot box.

      For all the other points I have no idea either, but this also looks like presenting bits to make their point not the whole situation which might either explain that there is more to it or just an act.

      One thing to note, A limited number of votes and envelopes has been printed and after the elections the numbers of printed have to match with the sum of used and not used votes.

      Delete
    2. Thanks Kaz- I wondered about the envelopes because we don't use envelopes here in my neck of the woods
      Ontario, Canada
      It's always paper ballots but done differently depending on local, regional, provincial and federal- we have way to much government in Canada

      Delete
  2. http://www.basnews.com/index.php/en/news/middle-east/343597

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks Ally- I read the story

      I'm taking the same stand as all along- this referendum was for the Turks/Tureky

      There is talk among the alt media crowd that a violent overthrow of the Turkish gov is necessary.

      I can't support that. I couldn't and wouldn't support the overthrow of Assad, Gaddafi, fellow in Ukraine (name escapes me) didn't support that coup. Kinda disgusted about it all- so much for the anti war anti imperial anti authority alt media
      sigh..

      Delete
    2. Same, they have gotten too bogged down with the cult of personality/simplistic memes and can't see that it is just a replay of what happened in Yugoslavia, Iraq, Libya, Ukraine, Syria and everywhere else!

      Delete
  3. the Turks living in central and northern Europe swung the election, in Austria +70% voted yes, they will be a huge backlash against the Turks for wanting an Islamist life style but want to live and use Austria secular system and generosity.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you would care to elaborate, how exactly did central and northern Europe swung the election. In Turkey there is a difference of '1.379.934' votes in favor of the change, These are the votes which are in Turkey those not in Turkey are not included in that number.

      Worldwide there are '1.424.227' votes used and the difference in favor of yes is worth '255.843' votes.

      So if the votes from worldwide were left out. Than it still would have been a 'yes' with '1.379.934' votes different.

      Now correct me if I am wrong, but in order to swung the election the votes cast worldwide outside of turkey has to compensate with the loss in turkey and end up with a positive right ?

      Delete
  4. Um, there are many peoples in Australia - have no idea if refugees and migrants from Turkey have any "right to vote".

    ReplyDelete

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